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Crobarometer: HDZ halts decline, SDP at lowest support in a year, Možemo! and Most continue to grow

New Ipsos survey shows HDZ stabilizing at 27.4 percent, while SDP drops to 18.8 percent; Možemo! reached 13.3, and Most 9 percent.

Foto: Wikipedia (Hrvatska demokratska zajednica)
Summary
  • HDZ stabilizes support at 27.4%, SDP falls to lowest level in a year (18.8%).
  • Možemo! (13.3%) and Most (9%) continue to grow; Milanović still most popular.
  • Corruption and price growth are citizens' biggest concerns; firefighters and HGSS have the highest trust.
  • Most accuses HDZ, SDP and Možemo! of mocking demands for the army at the border, after incidents in Ceuta.

According to the latest Crobarometer survey conducted by Ipsos for Nova TV's Dnevnik, HDZ remains the leading political force in Croatia with 27.4 percent support, thus putting an end to a months-long rating decline. At the same time, SDP recorded its lowest support in the past year at 18.8 percent, while the Možemo! platform (13.3 percent) and Most (9 percent) continue to strengthen, Zadar list reported.

The survey was conducted from 1 to 21 July on a sample of 997 respondents, with a maximum margin of error of ±3.3 percentage points. In addition to the four leading parties, the Homeland Movement recorded 2.6 percent, the Croatian Party of Pensioners 2.3 percent, and Dalija Orešković's party two percent, while all other options fell below two percent.

Commentator: HDZ can be satisfied, questions arise for SDP

Guest commentator Boris Jokić assessed that HDZ has broken its negative trend for the first time in six months. "HDZ can be satisfied with the results," he told Crobarometer. On the other hand, he warned that SDP is recording its lowest rating in a year, which will raise questions within the party and the coalition.

"While SDP's rating is declining, Možemo!'s is rising. This month's SDP rating is the lowest in the past year, which will certainly open certain questions in that party and in the coalition," Jokić said. Možemo!, he added, is in constant growth, and the result of 13.3 percent is the highest in the last six months and the first time since July 2025 they exceed 13 percent.

Milanović still on top, Penava most negative

President of the Republic Zoran Milanović remains the most popular politician with 57 percent trust, although slightly less than last month. He is followed by Biljana Borzan and Tomo Medved with 44 percent each, Ivan Anušić with 43, and Prime Minister Andrej Plenković with 39 percent. Tomislav Tomašević and Nikola Grmoja share fifth place with 38 percent, Zagreb.info reports.

On the list of most negatively rated politicians, Homeland Movement president Ivan Penava leads with 58 percent negative impression, ahead of Plenković (55 percent) and Tomašević (54 percent). Ivana Kekin and Siniša Hajdaš Dončić each have 53, and Parliament Speaker Gordan Jandroković 50 percent.

Corruption and price growth are the biggest problems

Citizens remain most concerned about corruption, 58 percent of respondents cite it as a key problem. Inflation and price growth are singled out by 56 percent, and every second respondent (50 percent) believes that low pensions are a serious problem. Low wages and a poor standard of living worry 48 percent. Jokić warned that these problems are intertwined and require systemic solutions.

Firefighters and HGSS enjoy the highest trust

Fifty-nine percent of respondents have a positive opinion of the work of public services, 18 percent have no confidence, and 23 percent are neutral. Firefighters enjoy the trust of 97 percent of citizens, the Croatian Mountain Rescue Service (HGSS) 95 percent, and emergency medical services 82 percent. The police are trusted by 61 percent, but Jokić specifically warned about the data that almost half of those under 30 have no trust in the police.

Most: While we sought border protection, they mocked us

As part of the release of the results, Most in a statement on July 31 accused HDZ, SDP and Možemo! of, as they state, mocking their demands that the Croatian army together with the police protect the border from illegal migration. The statement was issued after incidents in the Spanish Ceuta, where a large number of migrants swam over the breakwater and entered the Schengen area, Narod.hr reports.

Most believes this is a consequence of the open-border policy promoted by European institutions and reminds that the government adopted the Migration and Asylum Pact. "Most has been warning for years that Europe would pay the price for such a policy," the statement reads.

FAQ
Which party leads according to Crobarometer? +
HDZ is the leading party with 27.4 percent support, halting a months-long rating decline.
How much support does SDP have and how is that interpreted? +
SDP stands at 18.8 percent, which is the lowest support in the past year, and commentator Boris Jokić believes this will raise questions within the party and the coalition.
Which politicians have the highest and lowest ratings? +
President Zoran Milanović is the most popular (57%), while Ivan Penava has the most negative impression (58%). Prime Minister Plenković is second on the negative list.
What worries citizens the most? +
The key problems are corruption (58%) and inflation/price growth (56%). Low pensions and low wages follow.

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