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DHMZ Director Warns: 'We Will Have to Start Rebuilding in Line with the New Climate'

A severe heatwave with temperatures up to 40°C has hit Croatia. Experts point out that such extremes are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change, and nights offer no relief.

Foto: Jeffry Surianto na Pexels
Summary
  • Croatia is at the peak of a heatwave with temperatures up to 40°C, with red weather alerts in effect for seven regions.
  • Due to climate change, the number of hot days in Zagreb has nearly doubled, while in Split it has risen from 45 to 66 annually.
  • DHMZ Director Ivan Güttler says it is essential to adapt construction to new climate conditions because urban areas are particularly vulnerable.
  • Although a slight cooling is expected by the end of the week, the heat will continue into next week, and tropical nights hinder the body's recovery.

A severe heatwave, with temperatures reaching 40 degrees Celsius, is currently peaking in Croatia. The State Hydrometeorological Institute (DHMZ) has issued red and orange weather alerts for most of the country, warning of high and very high health risks.

Peak of the Heat Midweek

According to forecasts, maximum daily temperatures will range between 35 and 40°C, with red alerts in effect for the Rijeka, Knin, Split, Dubrovnik, Osijek, Zagreb, and Karlovac regions. "Temperatures between 35 and 40 degrees will persist at least until the end of the week, and very likely into the next one," said DHMZ Director Ivan Güttler for Nova TV's Dnevnik. A slight cooling with possible showers is expected only from Friday, mainly in the interior, and by the end of the week, alerts may be downgraded from red to orange in parts of the country.

Tropical Nights Offer No Respite

An additional problem is the exceptionally warm nights. On the Adriatic coast, temperatures do not drop below 25 degrees, and Güttler cited Senj as an extreme example, where over the weekend temperatures did not fall below 30 degrees even at night. "The problem is not just the days, but also the tropical nights," he emphasized. Citizens are advised to avoid sun exposure between 10 a.m. and 5 p.m., drink plenty of fluids, and cool their living spaces.

Climate Change Reshapes Summer Reality

DHMZ climatologist Dr. Sara Ivasić points out that such heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. "Scientific research estimates that European heatwaves are now two to three degrees warmer than they would be without human-induced climate change," she told Tportal. Statistics confirm this: Zagreb now records an average of 39 hot days per year, nearly double the 21 days recorded from 1991 to 2000. The trend is even more pronounced at the Split-Marjan station, where 66 hot days have been recorded in recent years, compared to 45 previously.

Temperatures of 40 Degrees Becoming More Common

Although the absolute temperature record in Croatia is still held by Ploče with 42.8 degrees Celsius measured on August 4, 1981, the climatologist does not rule out the possibility of breaking records at individual stations. "The value of 35 degrees Celsius, which we currently consider a very hot day, could be closer to 37 degrees in the future climate. At the same time, temperatures around 40 degrees would become more frequent than today," Ivasić summarized.

Cities Under Particular Pressure

Director Güttler warns that climate change must be addressed in two ways: reducing emissions through the green transition and adapting to new conditions. He particularly emphasized the vulnerability of urban areas. "Urban areas are especially vulnerable; we have a lot of asphalt and concrete there, and we will have to start rebuilding in line with the new climate," he stated. Planning cities differently, as well as investing in defense against droughts, floods, and fires, are part of this.

Drought and Low Water Levels

Güttler also commented on record-low river levels, noting that Croatia currently has no issues with electricity supply. However, he warned that neighboring countries are already experiencing difficulties in power plant operations due to high river temperatures used for cooling. He emphasized that one heavier rainfall will not be enough to replenish groundwater. "This current situation, with problems of drought and low water levels, is nevertheless temporary; it will stabilize over several months. Perhaps this time next year we will be talking about excessively high river levels," he said.

FAQ
How long will the heatwave in Croatia last? +
According to DHMZ Director Ivan Güttler, temperatures between 35 and 40°C will persist at least until the end of the week, and very likely into the next one.
Why are nights particularly dangerous during the heatwave? +
Tropical nights, when temperatures do not drop below 20°C, and in some places not below 30°C, hinder the body's recovery, especially for children, the elderly, and those with chronic illnesses.
Have temperatures of 40°C become common in Croatia? +
DHMZ climatologist Dr. Sara Ivasić points out that in the future climate, temperatures around 40°C will become more frequent, and today's 35°C could correspond to future values of 37°C.
What does 'building in line with the new climate' mean? +
The DHMZ director warns that urban areas with lots of asphalt and concrete need to be planned differently to adapt to extreme heat, including investments in protection against droughts, floods, and fires.

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