What are Hajduk's chances of qualifying for the Conference League according to simulations?

According to Football Meets Data projections from August 7, 2026, Hajduk is expected to reach the Conference League league phase, with a 50.1 percent chance of advancing past Hammarby in the play-offs.

Which seeding pot would Hajduk be placed in based on the club coefficient?

According to current projections, Hajduk would enter the fifth seeding pot of the Conference League main round draw.

How many Croatian clubs do the projections place in European competitions?

The projections give Croatia two spots, Dinamo in the Champions League and Hajduk in the Conference League.

What are Rijeka's chances for a European autumn?

Rijeka's chances are slim because they would likely face Midtjylland in the play-offs, who according to simulations have a 60 percent chance of advancing.

Football

Algorithm Changes Its Mind: Hajduk Closer to Conference League

N.G. · Prije 2h | 2 min

After a convincing win in Vilnius, Football Meets Data simulations now place the Split side in the league phase of the competition.

Summary

Hajduk beat Žalgiris 5-2 in Vilnius and are close to the Conference League play-offs.
Football Meets Data simulations now predict Hajduk in the league phase of the competition.
According to projections, Croatia could have two clubs in Europe: Dinamo in the Champions League and Hajduk in the Conference League.
Rijeka have slim chances as they would face favored Midtjylland in the play-offs.

Hajduk's footballers have almost secured their place in the Conference League qualification play-offs with a convincing 5:2 victory over Žalgiris in Vilnius. The return leg at Poljud should be a mere formality, and the Split side have clearly swayed the computer simulations with their performances.

Projections Now Foresee a European Autumn

The Football Meets Data website published new projections on August 7, 2026, according to which Hajduk is expected to feature in the Conference League league phase. Based on the club coefficient, the Whites would enter the fifth seeding pot of the main round draw, alongside Kairat, Trabzonspor, Riga, OFI Crete, and Nordsjælland.

Interestingly, the simulations currently place Hajduk in the play-offs against Hammarby, where the Split side are only slight favorites with a 50.1 percent chance of advancing. The first leg between Hammarby and Raków in Poland ended goalless, and the Swedes are now favorites in that tie. If Polish side Raków were to advance, they would be favorites over Hajduk according to the simulations.

Two Croatian Clubs in Europe

The projections now give Croatia two European spots this autumn. Alongside Dinamo, who are projected for the Champions League, Hajduk would join them. This is a significant change from less than a month ago, when the same website did not place any other Croatian club in the league phase after Hajduk's victory over Žilina at Poljud.

Rijeka, it seems, has little chance of qualifying. The projections for Matjaž Kek's side are not optimistic, especially as they would face a strong Midtjylland in the play-offs, who according to simulations have a 60 percent chance of advancing.