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UN warns: World faces new wave of food price hikes

FAO chief economist Maximo Torero tells Reuters that wars in Iran and Ukraine, coupled with El Niño, are creating a perfect storm of higher costs and lower yields.

Foto: JillWellington na Pixabay
Summary
  • FAO chief economist Maximo Torero warns of a new wave of food price increases by the end of 2026 and into 2027.
  • Main causes are the wars in Iran and Ukraine, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and the El Niño weather phenomenon.
  • The pass-through of rising commodity prices to final food prices takes three to six months.
  • American farmers could lose $32 billion, and Australia is seeing a 21 percent drop in winter crop production.

The world is on the brink of a new wave of food inflation, warns Maximo Torero, chief economist of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). In an interview with Reuters on Tuesday, August 5, 2026, he highlighted that the wars in Iran and Ukraine, along with the El Niño weather phenomenon, are creating a combination that will inevitably lead to higher prices for consumers worldwide. Although Croatia was not directly mentioned in the report, the global rise in food and energy prices will inevitably spill over to Croatian consumers through import prices.

Although food prices, which were a key driver of global inflation in 2022, have been relatively mild so far in 2026, Torero predicts that this lull is temporary. "I expect commodity prices to start rising more now... and food prices will start to rise by the end of the year, and next year they will certainly rise more," he said.

FAQ
When is the rise in food prices expected? +
According to the FAO's chief economist, food prices will begin to rise by the end of 2026, with further increases expected during 2027.
Why does the Strait of Hormuz affect food prices? +
The Strait of Hormuz is crucial for the transport of oil and natural gas, which are used to power agricultural machinery, packaging, processing, food transport, and the production of fertilizers.
What are the losses for American farmers in 2027? +
According to an estimate by the American Farm Bureau Federation, farmers growing nine major crops could lose $32 billion (S$41 billion) in 2027 without federal assistance.
How does El Niño affect food production? +
The El Niño phenomenon alters rainfall patterns, which can cause droughts or floods. This is already affecting the monsoon in India and threatening rice production, and could push tens of millions of people into acute food insecurity.

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