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Iraq in Financial Collapse: Oil Exports Down 75%

Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani confirmed that the country is exporting only a quarter of its pre-war oil volumes, triggering severe liquidity problems and delays in paying state employees.

Foto: Engin Akyurt na Pexels
Summary
  • Iraq's oil exports have plummeted by 75% due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, from a pre-war 3.5 million barrels per day to just a quarter of capacity.
  • Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani warns of a serious financial crisis that has already led to delays in paying state employees.
  • Baghdad is rapidly building alternative overland export routes to Turkey, Syria, and Jordan to bypass the Persian Gulf.
  • Iraq is selling oil at significant discounts, further deepening the budget deficit, and a diplomatic agreement with Iran on tanker passage has not yet been reached.

Iraq is experiencing a dramatic 75 percent drop in oil exports, a direct consequence of the prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and regional military escalations. This alarming figure was announced on Saturday at a press conference in Baghdad by Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani, who warned of a serious financial crisis shaking the entire country.

According to him, Iraq is currently exporting only about 25 percent of the volumes that were standard before the outbreak of regional hostilities on February 28, 2026. Before the crisis, Iraq exported approximately 3.5 million barrels of crude oil per day, which constituted the main source of state revenue.

Salary Delays and Compensation for Foreign Companies

The sharp decline in oil revenues has led to an acute liquidity shortage in the federal government. As a result, there are increasing delays in paying salaries to public sector employees. Minister Abdul-Ghani confirmed that oil is currently being sold at significant price concessions, well below the baseline price set in the state budget, further deepening the budget deficit.

The government in Baghdad is also grappling with the issue of compensation for foreign energy companies. Abdul-Ghani clarified that Iraq will compensate for damages resulting from attacks originating from Iraqi territory. However, the government has legally distanced itself from liability for damages caused by foreign military strikes or broader combat operations that are beyond state control.

Accelerated Work on Alternative Routes

To reduce dependence on the Persian Gulf and the blocked Hormuz, Iraq's Ministry of Oil is rapidly developing infrastructure for overland exports. Priority is being given to projects for expanding and constructing pipeline corridors that would connect southern production hubs with the Mediterranean.

Planned routes include directions toward Turkey's Ceyhan port, Syria's Baniyas terminal, and Jordan's Aqaba port. Long-term plans also envision transit to the Red Sea via Jordanian territory. Although Baghdad has held diplomatic talks with Iran about allowing Iraqi tankers to pass through the Gulf, an operational agreement has not yet been reached.

Such disruptions at one of the world's key oil hubs have the potential to impact global energy prices, and thereby indirectly affect supply and prices in the European Union.

FAQ
Why has Iraq's oil exports dropped by 75%? +
The decline is caused by the prolonged blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and regional military conflicts that began on February 28, 2026.
How much oil was Iraq exporting before the crisis? +
Before the outbreak of hostilities, Iraq was exporting approximately 3.5 million barrels of crude oil per day.
How is the crisis affecting the population of Iraq? +
The drastic drop in oil revenues has caused a shortage of money in the state treasury, leading to delays in paying salaries for public sector employees.
What alternative routes is Iraq planning for oil exports? +
Iraq is rapidly developing overland pipelines to Turkey's Ceyhan port, Syria's Baniyas terminal, and Jordan's Aqaba port, with the aim of reaching the Mediterranean and Red Seas.

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