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Lithuania Warns: Putin Plans Drone Attack

Russia allegedly seeks to use Ukrainian drones for a provocation against NATO allies and to test the Alliance's resolve, Lithuania's defense minister has revealed.

Foto: Jeff Kingma na Unsplash
Summary
  • Lithuania's defense minister warns that Russia plans false-flag drone attacks using Ukrainian-made drones on the Baltic states.
  • The goal of the provocation is to weaken NATO's support for Ukraine and test the Alliance's unity.
  • The warning comes amid a series of hybrid attacks, including a Russian missile falling in Poland and the discovery of an explosive drone in Germany.
  • NATO simultaneously announces new initiatives to strengthen defense industrial cooperation.

Russia is considering unconventional attacks on critical infrastructure in the Baltic region using Ukrainian-made drones, Lithuania's Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas warned on Thursday, August 7, 2026. According to him, this is a planned false-flag operation aimed at weakening NATO's support for Ukraine.

Kaunas told The Telegraph that intelligence indicates Moscow is preparing "unconventional kinetic attacks" on infrastructure in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. "It is highly likely that Russia could use Ukrainian-made drones," he added.

Operation with a clear political goal

Lithuania's defense minister explained the background of the planned provocation. "We are talking about a false-flag operation, that is, the use of a fake Ukrainian drone. One of the goals is to force NATO to buckle and reduce support for Ukraine. But I assure you, that will not happen," Kaunas said.

Although Lithuanian intelligence has not yet disclosed specific dates for a possible attack, Kaunas stressed that Russia's planning process is being closely monitored. The warning comes amid heightened hybrid activities on NATO's eastern flank, including an incident last week when a Russian missile landed in a Polish field, about 80 kilometers inside the country's territory.

Stockpiles and stray drones

Experts estimate that Russia has amassed significant stockpiles of Ukrainian drones over nearly five years of warfare. These include drones that crashed in relatively good condition or were assembled from leftover parts. Meanwhile, military officials from Latvia and Estonia have recorded cases of Ukrainian drones straying into their airspace, which they attribute to powerful Russian signal-jamming systems.

Polish media outlet Onet reported in July 2026 that intelligence services in Warsaw are investigating the possibility of drone attacks on critical infrastructure, such as power plants, as well as simulated air raids that would force Poland to activate its air defense systems.

Sabotage at German airport

Tensions are further fueled by a recent incident at Leipzig/Halle Airport in Germany. Forensic experts there found a military-grade drone near a Ukrainian Antonov cargo aircraft loaded with ammunition for Kyiv. The device did not explode only because of a faulty detonator. Although German authorities have not officially blamed anyone, officials suspect Russia is behind this act as part of a broader sabotage campaign against NATO.

Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda earlier, citing intelligence, ordered increased security around energy and transport hubs precisely because of Russian plans to attack critical infrastructure.

NATO strengthens industrial cooperation

On the same day as the Lithuanian warning, NATO announced new initiatives on its official channels to strengthen defense industrial cooperation. The goal is to streamline procurement, increase transparency regarding capability needs, and bolster transatlantic cooperation in the defense industry.

Although this topic has no direct link to Croatia, the security situation on NATO's eastern flank and the stability of the Alliance are of vital importance to all member states, including Croatia.

FAQ
What is a false-flag operation? +
It is a covert operation designed to appear as if it was carried out by someone else. In this case, Russia would use Ukrainian drones to attack the Baltic states and thereby try to blame Ukraine.
What is the goal of Russia's provocation according to Lithuania? +
According to Lithuania's defense minister, the goal is to force NATO to reduce or halt military aid to Ukraine, and to test the Alliance's resolve and unity.
Has Russia already carried out similar attacks? +
The warnings come after a series of incidents, including a Russian missile falling in Poland and the discovery of a drone with explosives at a German airport, for which Russia is suspected, but there is no official confirmation yet.

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