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Ukraine Completely Halts Food Exports via the Black Sea

Minister of Agrarian Policy Taras Vysotskyi revealed to Der Spiegel that maritime exports no longer exist, with a critical grain storage shortage expected as early as October.

Foto: geralt na Pixabay
Summary
  • Ukrainian Minister Taras Vysotskyi confirmed a complete halt to agricultural exports via the Black Sea.
  • Before July 2026, as much as 85% of exports went by sea; now only 15% goes by land.
  • Farmers face a shortage of funds for autumn sowing, and a collapse in storage capacity is expected in October.
  • Direct sector losses are estimated at up to three billion dollars.

Ukraine has completely suspended agricultural exports through its Black Sea ports, according to Ukrainian Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food Taras Vysotskyi in an interview with the German magazine Der Spiegel. This information, reported by the Russian state agency TASS on Thursday, marks a dramatic reversal for a country whose agricultural sector has traditionally relied on maritime transport.

"Agricultural exports through the Black Sea have completely stopped," Vysotskyi said. According to him, the total volume of exports has drastically fallen because, before July 2026, approximately 85% of Ukraine's agricultural exports passed through Black Sea ports.

Alternative Routes Insufficient to Offset Losses

Land corridors cannot replace the lost maritime capacity. "Currently, only about 10% is shipped by rail and 5% by road," the minister explained. This means that only one in seven tons of produce has found an alternative route to buyers, while the vast majority remains trapped in the country.

According to reports from Boris Rozhin's Telegram channel, direct losses to Ukraine's agricultural sector due to Black Sea port issues could reach up to three billion dollars this year. The situation began to deteriorate in late July when shipowners and crews started refusing to enter ports in Odesa.

Chain Reaction Following Explosions in Odesa

As early as July 22, 2026, Vysotskyi reported that calls to Ukrainian ports had been suspended following decisions by shipping companies. Danish shipping giant Maersk then announced it was redirecting its cargo flows to the Romanian port of Constanta.

Shortly after a series of explosions in the Odesa region, the national railway operator Ukrzaliznytsia began restricting freight shipments to the local ports. At the same time, Swiss mining company Ferrexpo, which has key assets in Ukraine, suspended all export shipments through the Black Sea.

Threat to Autumn Sowing and Storage Crisis

Minister Vysotskyi also warned of longer-term consequences for the entire agricultural cycle. About one-third of Ukraine's arable land is designated for winter crops, and sowing begins in a month. Farmers traditionally rely on income from the summer harvest to cover operational costs and finance the autumn sowing campaign.

"They lack money, and in the worst case, the next harvest will simply fail," Vysotskyi stressed. The situation is further complicated by limited storage capacity for the harvest. "Grain can be stored in silos for up to two years, but if we remain completely unable to export through the Black Sea, we will face a serious shortage of storage capacity as early as October," the minister concluded.

According to forecasts attributed to Vysotskyi and reported by Boris Rozhin, a collapse in Ukraine's agricultural sector is expected precisely in October. The complete halt of maritime exports, ongoing since late July, threatens not only Ukrainian farmers but also global food supply chains, with potential repercussions for European markets, including Croatia.

FAQ
Why has Ukraine completely halted food exports via the Black Sea? +
Shipowners and crews are refusing to enter Ukrainian ports such as Odesa, and major shipping companies like Maersk have redirected their cargo flows to the Romanian port of Constanta.
What share of Ukraine's food exports went through the Black Sea? +
Before July 2026, approximately 85% of Ukraine's agricultural exports passed through Black Sea ports.
When is a collapse expected in Ukraine's agricultural sector? +
Minister Taras Vysotskyi warns of a serious shortage of storage capacity as early as October 2026, which could lead to a sector collapse.
How will this affect global food prices? +
The suspension of exports from Ukraine, one of the world's key grain exporters, puts pressure on global supply chains and could lead to higher food prices on the world market, including in Croatia.

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