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Over 300,000 Croats in BiH Face Energy Shock

Energy expert Edhem Bičakčić warns that Bosnia and Herzegovina faces electricity supply restrictions due to drought, neglected transition, and lack of investment, which will directly affect the large Croatian community.

Foto: Wikipedia (Obnovljivi izvori energije)
Summary
  • Energy expert Edhem Bičakčić warns of possible electricity supply restrictions in BiH due to drought and neglected transition.
  • More than half of BiH's electricity still comes from thermal power plants, and new production capacities are lacking.
  • Restrictions would directly affect more than 300,000 Croats living in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  • BiH is the only country in the region that has not established a power exchange, and pressure is growing due to the introduction of the European CBAM mechanism.

More than 300,000 Croats living in Bosnia and Herzegovina could soon face serious restrictions in electricity supply. This is the warning from energy expert and former Prime Minister of the Federation of BiH, Edhem Bičakčić, who on Monday, August 10, 2026, did not hide his concern about the state of the country's energy sector in an interview for N1 television.

Bičakčić emphasizes that climate change brings increasingly longer dry periods and extreme weather conditions that directly threaten energy security. Although BiH committed to following European energy policies back in 2006 when it joined the Energy Community, the transition to a more sustainable system has failed. "But we are not following that, and we have not entered the transition that is necessary to overcome this. That is why the cuts here will be drastic," Bičakčić said.

Coal-fired power plants still dominate, renewables insufficient

According to data from the State Electricity Regulatory Commission (DERK), the production structure in BiH remains concerning. More than half of the electricity comes from thermal power plants, while renewable sources, including hydro, solar, and wind power, together account for only 45.4 percent of total production.

An additional problem is growing consumption. The increasing number of air conditioners, heat pumps, and other electrical appliances is not being matched by the construction of new production capacities. Although this year's favorable hydrology has so far kept reservoirs stable, Bičakčić warns that this is only a temporary situation.

"When you see reservoirs suddenly emptying, it's clear that a crisis is coming. Once we exhaust them, the next measure is electricity supply restrictions," he explained. He believes that the key mistake was neglecting coal production before securing adequate replacement sources, stressing that the transition must be gradual.

CBAM pressure and lack of a power exchange

The situation is further complicated by the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), whose full implementation began in early 2026. This mechanism forces BiH to introduce a system for charging carbon dioxide emissions, establish an organized electricity market, and certify green energy-requirements that the country currently does not meet.

"We are the only country that has not established a power exchange. We also need an agency to certify green energy," Bičakčić warned, pointing to enormous institutional and infrastructural shortcomings that, combined with weather disasters, could lead to a serious energy crisis.

FAQ
How many Croats in BiH could be affected by electricity restrictions? +
According to estimates, more than 300,000 Croats live in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and all of them could feel the consequences of potential electricity supply restrictions.
Why is BiH threatened with electricity supply restrictions? +
The main reasons are prolonged drought that is emptying hydroelectric reservoirs, years of delaying the energy transition, and insufficient investment in new production capacities.
What is CBAM and how does it affect the energy situation in BiH? +
CBAM is the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, whose full implementation began in 2026. It requires BiH to introduce charges for CO2 emissions and establish a power exchange, which the country has not yet done.
What is the share of renewable sources in electricity production in BiH? +
According to DERK data, renewable energy sources, including hydro, solar, and wind power, account for 45.4 percent of total electricity production in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

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