HR EN DE
NEWS SPORT BIZNIS SCENA LIFESTYLE TECH

European Gas Storage Could Be Empty by April 2027

The US-Iran conflict has slowed the filling of underground storage, and Handelsblatt warns that Europe could run out of gas reserves right after next winter.

Foto: Wikipedia (Ukapljeni zemni plin)
Summary
  • European gas storage is filling more slowly due to the US-Iran conflict and reduced LNG shipments from the Persian Gulf.
  • To reach the target filling level of 80 percent, 142 tankers per month are needed, but Europe is receiving only 105.
  • If the pace does not change, storage would be only 69 percent full by November 1, 2026, and reserves could run out by April 2027.
  • Increasing imports would cost European companies an additional 60 euros per megawatt-hour, which would ultimately be paid by consumers.

Operators of European underground gas storage facilities are injecting gas at a slower pace due to the conflict between the United States and Iran, making it harder to reach target filling levels before the heating season. According to Handelsblatt, citing calculations by the specialized portal Montel, reserves could be completely depleted by April 2027.

142 tankers needed monthly, only 105 arriving

According to data reported by TASS, to fill underground storage to the target level of 80 percent, European Union countries would need to receive 142 liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers per month over the next two and a half months. However, European LNG terminals have been receiving an average of only 105 tankers per month in recent months.

If the pace of purchases does not change, storage will be only 69 percent full by November 1, 2026. In that case, as Handelsblatt notes, reserves could run out by April 2027, when the heating season in Europe ends.

Market logic and fear of losses

Handelsblatt explains that gas storage operators are private companies that respond to market incentives. They typically buy gas in the summer to sell it at a higher price in the winter and make a profit. However, due to the US-Iran conflict, which has led to a sharp drop in LNG shipments from the Persian Gulf, gas prices remain high.

Importers therefore fear that prices could fall if the crisis is resolved, which would result in losses if they buy gas now at high prices. Additionally, Europe must compete with Asian countries for reduced LNG supplies on the global market. Asian buyers are willing to pay higher prices, allowing them to attract shipments from exporting countries.

Double prices and burden on consumers

Under such conditions, increasing imports would require European companies to pay purchase prices twice as high as those available before the start of the American war against Iran. This would cost them an average of an additional 60 euros per megawatt-hour. In that case, the higher costs of electricity and heating would ultimately be borne by consumers.

Although the report does not directly mention Croatia, a potential gas shortage and rising energy prices at the EU level would also affect Croatian consumers through energy security and market prices.

FAQ
Why are European gas storage facilities filling more slowly? +
Due to the US-Iran conflict, there has been a sharp drop in LNG shipments from the Persian Gulf, and gas prices have remained high, making importers hesitant to buy.
How many LNG tankers does Europe need per month? +
To achieve the target filling level of 80 percent, the EU would need to receive 142 tankers per month, while it currently receives an average of 105.
What would happen if the pace of purchases does not change? +
Storage would be only 69 percent full by November 1, 2026, and reserves could be completely depleted by April 2027.
Who would bear the costs of increased imports? +
European companies would have to pay double the prices, which would average an additional 60 euros per megawatt-hour, and this burden would ultimately fall on consumers.

Log in

You need to log in or register to comment.

Comments (0)
No comments yet. Be the first!
Search
Popular
Login
Home
Make 5MIN.hr a preferred source
Follow us on social media
Categories