Croatian historian Tvrtko Jakovina, in an analysis of the global situation, highlighted that Aleksandar Vučić's foreign policy, which 'looks in all four directions,' yields results, especially in light of Zelensky's visit to Serbia.
Croatian historian Tvrtko Jakovina believes that Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić's assessments of foreign policy balancing have been more successful than those advocated by his critics. Appearing on N1 television with host Hanan Nanić, Jakovina analyzed global relations and concluded that it is still unclear which direction the world will take.
Commenting on the announced first official visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the Republic of Serbia, Jakovina stated that this event will further strengthen Vučić's position. "It will solidify the ground he stands on," the historian said, adding that even before the war, there were analysts who claimed that such Serbian foreign policy was not without results.
Jakovina reminded that Serbia did not join sanctions against Russia, while simultaneously selling ammunition to Ukraine. "There were those who said that a foreign policy looking in all four directions goes in circles and that you have to make a choice," he said. However, he concluded that the moves of major European countries paint a different picture.
"It's obvious that a decision hasn't been made yet on which way to go. The policy of some major European countries shows that Vučić's assessments may have been somewhat better than those of critics who demanded choosing black or white," Jakovina said. His statements were also reported by Serbian media, including Kurir.rs, which emphasize that "no one, not even Šolak's media," can diminish the diplomatic success of the Serbian president.
In a broader analysis of the global situation, Jakovina also touched on the state of the war in Iran, saying that since April 2026, when the most intense air strikes largely ceased, nothing particularly new has happened in strategic terms. "The blockade of Hormuz continues, and the Americans responded with their own blockade. We are awaiting some of Trump's announcements about negotiations to see if there is any truth in them," he said.
He emphasized that Iran has clearly not lost the war. "In the agreement with the US, the situation in Lebanon, Yemen, and Gaza is mentioned. The Americans set out to solve only the Hormuz issue, but Iran blocked it. Now we need to see what was agreed between Oman and Iran. Tehran clearly has the upper hand there," Jakovina added. Regarding American ammunition expenditure, he believes the panic is unjustified. "I wouldn't overemphasize the panic about the US running out of missiles. The idea that the US would be left without any weapons is blowing things out of proportion," he said.
The historian also pointed out the fascination of the moment when local American events become global news. "Everyone is watching this in light of the Israeli lobby in the US; the fact is that AIPAC, the most powerful pro-Israel lobbying organization in the US, gave $30 million for the campaign of a candidate who lost," Jakovina said, referring to the primaries in Michigan.
His analysis comes at a time of significant geopolitical changes that, according to him, have occurred since 2023 and the start of the Israeli genocide in Gaza, including the failure of the US-Israeli strategy towards Iran.
